Micro-geographic targeting for precision public policy: Analysis of child sex ratio across 587,043 census villages in India, 2011

Abstract Child sex ratio (CSR) is a marker of disproportionate sex ratio at birth and discriminatory practices that lead to differential survival in early childhood by sex. We used the 2011 Census on rural India to present the first local analysis of CSR across 587,043 villages. In our multilevel analysis considering villages, tehsils, districts, and states/union territories, we found 96% of the total variation in CSR to be attributed to villages. About 39% of the villages were ‘boy’ areas (CSR≤88 girls per 100 boys) and another 12% had deficits in girls (88  103). The magnitude of local variation in CSR was heterogeneous across states/union territories and districts. Our findings provide timely evidence to inform localized programmes like Beti Bachao, Beti Padhao to be implemented with greater precision.