Does Realized Skewness Predict the Cross-Section of Equity Returns?
2013
We use intraday data to compute weekly
realized variance,
skewness, and
kurtosisfor equity returns and study the
realizedmoments? time-series and cross-sectional properties. We investigate if this week?'s
realizedmoments are informative for the cross-section of next week'?s stock returns. We ?find a very strong negative relationship between
realized
skewnessand next week?'s stock returns. A
trading strategythat buys stocks in the lowest
realized
skewness
decileand sells stocks in the highest
realized
skewness
decilegenerates an average weekly return of 24
basis pointswith a
t-statisticof 3.65. Our results on
realized
skewnessare robust across a wide variety of implementations, sample periods, portfolio weightings, and firm characteristics, and are not captured by the Fama-French and Carhart factors. We ?find some evidence that the relationship between
realized
kurtosisand next week?'s stock returns is positive, but the evidence is not always robust and statistically significant. We do not find a strong relationship between
realizedvolatility and next week?'s stock returns.
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