Higher extracellular water to total body water ratio was associated with chronic kidney disease progression in type 2 diabetes

Abstract Aim We studied the association between extracellular volume status and chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression; and the role of extracellular volume excess as a potential mediator in the relationship between matrix metalloproteinases (MMP)-2 and CKD progression in Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Methods We conducted a prospective cohort study of 1079 T2DM patients. Bioelectrical impedance analysis (BIA) was performed to assess body fluid status. Results After up to 8.6 years of follow-up, 471 (43.7%) patients experienced CKD progression. In the fully adjusted model, extracellular water (ECW)/ total body water (TBW)ratios 0.39–0.40 and > 0.40 were associated with 45% and 78% higher risk of CKD progression respectively. Patients with an increase in ECW/TBW ratio had 40% higher risk of CKD progression compared to those with no change or reduction of ECW/TBW ratio. Higher ECW/TBW ratio accounted for 17.4% of the relationship between MMP-2 and CKD progression in T2DM (p = 0.026). Conclusions Extracellular volume excess was independently associated with CKD progression in T2DM. Higher ECW/TBW ratio mediated the positive association between MMP-2 and CKD progression. Further studies are needed to elucidate the role of extracellular volume excess in deterioration of renal function.