On Estimating the Mass of Keplerian Accretion Disks in H2O Maser Galaxies.

Recently Hure et al. (2011) used a position-dynamical mass diagram to re-analyze position-velocity data from H2O maser disks associated with active galactic nuclei and claim that a maser disk with nearly perfect Keplerian rotation could have disk mass comparable to the black hole mass. This would imply that ignoring the effects of disk self-gravity can lead to large systematic errors in the measurement of black hole mass. We examine their methods and find that their large estimated disk masses are likely the result of bias in their data collection process and their use of projected instead of 3-dimensional position and velocity information. To place better constraints on the disk masses of Keplerian maser systems, we incorporate disk self-gravity into a 3-dimensional Bayesian modelling program for maser disks and also evaluate constraints based on the physical conditions for disks which support water maser emission. We find that there is little evidence that disk masses are dynamically important at the ~<1% level compared to the black holes.