Equity Volatility Term Structures and the Cross-Section of Option Returns
2017
The
slopeof the
implied volatilityterm structure is positively related to future option returns. We rank firms based on the
slopeof the volatility term structure and analyze the returns for
straddle
portfolios.
Straddle
portfolioswith high
slopesof the volatility term structure outperform
straddle
portfolioswith low
slopesby an economically and statistically significant amount. The results are robust to different empirical setups and are not explained by traditional factors, higher-order option factors, or jump risk.
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