ESD Ideas: Global climate response scenarios for IPCC assessments
2020
Abstract. IPCC Working Group I has long employed socioeconomic scenarios, based on discrete storylines, to sample the uncertainty in future forcing of the climate system, but analogous scenarios to sample the uncertainty in the
global climate response have not been employed. Here, we argue that to enable
development of robust climate policies this gap should be addressed, and we
propose a simple methodology.
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