Increasing frequency and duration of Arctic winter warming events
2017
Near-surface air temperatures close to 0°C were observed in situ over sea ice in the central
Arcticduring the last three
winterseasons. Here we use in situ
winter(December–March) temperature observations, such as those from Soviet North Pole drifting stations and ocean
buoys, to determine how common
Arctic
winterwarming events are. Observations of
winterwarming events exist over most of the
ArcticBasin. Temperatures exceeding -5°C were observed during >30% of
wintersfrom 1954 to 2010 by North Pole drifting stations or ocean
buoys. Using the ERA-Interim record (1979–2016), we show that the North Pole (NP) region typically experiences 10 warming events (T2m > 10°C) per
winter, compared with only five in the Pacific Central
Arctic(PCA). There is a positive trend in the overall duration of
winterwarming events for both the NP region (4.25 days/decade) and PCA (1.16 days/decade), due to an increased number of events of longer duration.
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