Plasma glycated CD59 predicts postpartum glucose intolerance after gestational diabetes.

AIMS To assess whether in women with gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM), postpartum plasma glycated CD59 (pGCD59) levels predict conversion to glucose intolerance diagnosed with an oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT). METHODS Blood levels of pGCD59 were measured in a case-control study of 105 women with GDM who underwent a 75g OGTT three months postpartum. The 35 postpartum glucose intolerant cases were individually matched for age, BMI, ethnic origin and parity with 70 women with GDM but normal postpartum OGTT (controls). The GDM cohort (105) was also matched with 105 normal glucose tolerant women during pregnancy. pGCD59 was measured by ELISA in standard peptide units (SPU). RESULTS Mean pGCD59 postpartum was significantly higher in cases than in controls (1.5 ± 0.6 SPU vs. 1.0 ±0.6 SPU, p<0.001). The area under the receiving operating characteristic curve (AUC) in cases versus controls was 0.72 (95% CI 0.62-0.83) for postpartum pGCD59 and 0.50 (95% CI 0.36-0.61) for postpartum HbA1c. A 0.5-unit increase in postpartum pGCD59 was associated with an OR of 3.3 (95% CI 1.82-6.16, p<0.001) for glucose intolerance postpartum. A pGCD59 cut-off postpartum of 0.9 SPU had a sensitivity of 85.7% (95% CI 69.7-95.2%), specificity of 47.8% (95% CI 35.6-60.2%), positive predictive value of 45.4% (95% CI 33.1-58.2%) and negative predictive value of 86.8% (95% CI 71.9-95.6%). pGCD59 in pregnancy was a poor predictor for glucose intolerance postpartum [AUC of 0.61 (95% CI 0.50-0.72)]. CONCLUSIONS pGCD59 might identify women at low risk for glucose intolerance postpartum and could help to avoid an OGTT.