Vascular plant extinction in the continental United States and Canada.

Extinction rates are expected to increase during the Anthropocene. Current extinction rates of plants and many animals remain unknown. This study represents the first effort to quantify extinctions among the vascular flora of North America north of Mexico since European settlement. We compiled data on apparently extinct species by querying plant conservation databases, searching literature, and vetting the resulting list with botanical experts. Because taxonomic opinion varies widely, we developed an Index of Taxonomic Uncertainty (ITU). The ITU ranges from A to F, with A indicating unanimous taxonomic recognition and F indicating taxonomic recognition by only a single author. The ITU allowed us to rigorously evaluate extinction rates. Our data suggest 65 taxa (51 species and 14 infraspecific taxa) representing 33 families and 49 genera of vascular plants have become extinct in our study area since European settlement. Seven of these taxa exist in cultivation but are extinct in the wild. We found most extinctions in western North America, but that disparity may reflect the timing of botanical exploration relative to settlement. Sixty-four percent of extinct plants were single-site endemics, and many occurred outside recognized biodiversity hotspots. Given the paucity of plant surveys in many areas of North America, particularly prior to European settlement, the actual extinction rate of vascular plants is undoubtedly much higher than indicated here. Article Impact Statement: The number of presumed extinct plants from the continental United States and Canada is much greater than previously recognized. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.