Using deterministic approximations to accelerate SMC for posterior sampling
2017
Sequential Monte Carlo has become a standard tool for
Bayesian Inferenceof complex models. This approach can be computationally demanding, especially when initialized from the prior distribution. On the other hand, deter-ministic approximations of the posterior distribution are often available with no theoretical guaranties. We propose a bridge sampling scheme starting from such a deterministic approximation of the posterior distribution and targeting the true one. The resulting Shortened Bridge Sampler (SBS) relies on a sequence of distributions that is determined in an adaptive way. We illustrate the robustness and the efficiency of the methodology on a large simulation study. When applied to network datasets, SBS inference leads to different statistical conclusions from the one supplied by the standard variational Bayes approximation.
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