Tajikistan - Risk and resilience assessment

In recognizing the changing nature and scope of fragility, conflict and violence (FCV), the World Bank (WB) is taking a new and differentiated approach to addressing the full spectrum of FCV situations. This includes action in fragile situations in middle-income countries, not just in the least-developed countries and considering regional conflicts and spillovers, not just national-level fragility. This also includes tackling FCV risks and long-term drivers, not just the adverse development outcomes of conflict. By targeting potential socio-economic fault lines in vulnerable countries, the WB seeks to contribute to the avoidance of wide-scale crises and their significant human and economic costs. The new International Development Association (IDA) 18 'Risk Mitigation Regime (RMR)' pilots development interventions as a prevention tool—scaling up financial support that proactively targets FCV risks and reinforces sources of resilience. Tajikistan is included as one of four pilot countries under the RMR. This Risk and Resilience Report (RRA) identifies the multi-dimensional risks that increase Tajikistan's vulnerability to violence and instability, as well as sources of resilience, and makes recommendations on potential areas of World Bank programming. The RRA has been part of a range of supporting diagnostics and preparatory studies informing the Tajikistan Country Partnership Framework (CPF) for the period of FY19-23 (discussed by the WBG Board of Executive Directors in May 2019). The CPF covers the RMR-funded interventions based on the findings of the RRA as part of the WBG Tajikistan country program.