Metabolic asymmetry and the global diversity of marine predators

INTRODUCTION One of the most general patterns in ecology is that diversity increases toward the equator. In the ocean, however, mammaland bird richness generally peak in colder, temperate waters. This pattern is especially puzzling given the thermal stress that cold water imposes on warm-bodied endotherms, which must maintain constant, elevated body temperatures through metabolic activity. In contrast, ectothermicfish and reptiles that rely on ambient heat to regulate their body temperature show the highest diversity in tropical and subtropical habitats. RATIONALE Large, predatory vertebrates regulate food webs across marine systems. Their distribution varies strongly with thermoregulatory strategy, but the underlying mechanisms are unclear. Using theory and data, we sought to clarify the physiological and ecological processes that lead to opposing patterns of diversity in marine predators. RESULTS To identify spatial patterns of diversity, we synthesized range maps from 998 species of marine sharks, teleost fish, mammals, birds, and sea snakes. We found that most families of endothermic mammalsand birds show elevated richness in temperate latitudes, whereas ectothermicsharks and fish peak in tropical or subtropical seas. These findings are reinforced by our analysis of phylogenetic diversity, which weights diversity by species’ evolutionary relatedness. The strong latitudinal signal is suggestive of thermal controls on diversity, but other environmental features may be relevant. In particular, large, productive, or coastal habitats tend to support more species regardless of thermoregulatory strategy. Endotherm phylogenetic diversityand richness generally peak between 45° and 60° latitude, but when we take the ratio of endothermto ectothermrichness—correcting for shared spatial drivers— endothermrichness increases systematically toward the coldest polar oceans. We then determined quantitatively and theoretically how these differences are linked to thermal physiology. We found that the metabolic response to ambient temperature is asymmetric between endothermsand ectotherms: Endothermicmetabolism is generally constant, but in ectothermicfish, burst speed, routine swimming speed, neural firing rates, saccadic eye movement, and visual flicker fusion frequencies fall exponentially in colder water. This has trophic and competitive implications for marine species. Ectothermicprey are sluggish in the cold and easier for mammalsand birds to capture, whereas slow-moving, predatory sharks are easier to avoid. As a result, marine endothermsare competitively favored over ectothermicpredators as water temperatures decline. We tested our theory against a global dataset of pinniped and cetacean abundance and foraging rates. As predicted, we found that mammalconsumption and density increase log-linearly with water temperature after correcting for productivity. From the equator to the poles, marine mammalconsumption of available food increases by a factor of ~80. CONCLUSION Our results and theory highlight the importance of energetics in species interactions and the ecological and evolutionary consequences of endothermy at global scales. Although elevated metabolism is costly, it provides foraging and competitive benefits that underpin the distribution and abundance of marine endotherms. Our findings also have implications for conservation. Rising ocean temperatures are predicted to exert substantial additional constraints on mammaland bird populations independent of food production or habitat conditions, and may alter the balance of marine endothermsand ectothermsacross the globe.