Past large earthquakes on the Alpine Fault: paleoseismological progress and future directions

ABSTRACTPaleoseismology has been making an important contribution to understanding the Alpine Fault and the hazard it poses to society. However, evidence of past earthquakes comes from a wide variety of sources and publication of the evidence has been somewhat fragmented. Here, we review physical evidence for past large to great earthquakes on the Alpine Fault to summarise current understanding, illustrate progress and highlight future directions. Paleoseismic evidence has been derived from tree disturbance, landscape features and trenches across the fault. These records have been supplemented and extended back in time with sedimentary evidence of Alpine Fault earthquakes from fault-proximal lakes and wetlands. In this review, we update radiocarbon analyses using recent calibration curves and modern Bayesian statisticalmethods where necessary to enable comparison between on-fault, fault-proximal and off-fault earthquake records. Over recent decades, Alpine Fault paleoseismologyhas progressed from playin...